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Metacognition & Thinking About Thinking How your own mind works, and how to monitor it: confidence calibration, System 1 and 2, self-deception, and practical moves that correct your thinking in real time.
40 cards · space to flip · 1–4 to grade · d to go deeper
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Reading list The works this deck draws on, in the order worth reading them. Cards point to a specific chapter or paper where one fits.
01 Book Thinking, Fast and Slow · Daniel Kahneman The source for System 1 and 2, cognitive ease, and overconfidence. Parts 1 to 3 carry most of the value; the rest can be skimmed. 02 Book The Scout Mindset · Julia Galef Short and practical on motivated reasoning and on wanting to see clearly rather than to win. The best single starting point for this deck. 03 Book Superforecasting · Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner The best treatment of calibration and belief updating, built on a decade of forecasting tournaments with real scores. 04 Book Make It Stick · Peter Brown, Henry Roediger and Mark McDaniel Why fluency fools your judgments of learning and what actually builds retrievable knowledge. Read alongside the learning cards. 05 Book Thinking in Bets · Annie Duke Decision journals, separating decision quality from outcome quality, and why judging a choice by its result (resulting) corrupts learning. 06 Book The Elephant in the Brain · Kevin Simler and Robin Hanson A sharper and more uncomfortable account of why introspection misreports your motives. 07 Paper Unskilled and Unaware of It · Justin Kruger and David Dunning, 1999 The original Dunning-Kruger study. Short, readable, and misquoted so often that reading the real thing is worth it. 08 Essay The Lens That Sees Its Flaws · Eliezer Yudkowsky, in Rationality: From AI to Zombies A few pages on why a mind that can model its own errors is in a different position from one that cannot. 