10.6What 1% really costs
Compounding, fees and the cost of waiting. Money that grows earns growth on its growth, so small differences in the rate, or in the year you start, turn into large differences decades later. A fee, inflation and a card balance compound too, against you. Turn the dials and watch a gap of one percent, or ten years, open up.
This is general education about a mechanism, not financial advice. The numbers are illustrations: real returns are not steady, nobody knows future ones, and the model leaves out taxes, which differ from country to country. Before a real decision, get advice that fits your own situation.
- 1Read
Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton keep return records for 35 markets back to 1900. In their 2026 yearbook, American shares grew 9.8% a year from 1900 to 2025, or 6.6% a year after inflation, which averaged 2.9%. Developed markets as a whole returned 8.5% a year in US dollars. That is a record of one century, not a promise about the next.
Long-run yearly returns, 1900 to 2025, from the UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026 1900 to 2025, a year Before inflation After inflation US shares 9.8% 6.6% US long-term bonds 4.6% 1.6% US Treasury bills 3.4% 0.5% Those are averages over 125 years. Along the way, the same yearbook notes, shares and bonds have several times lost more than 70% after inflation. Every dial below holds the rate perfectly steady, which no market does. That is what makes the mechanism visible, and it is the main way this page is simpler than life.
- 2Wait
Two people save the same amount every month until they are 65. One starts at 25. The other waits. Set the yearly return, which this model holds constant every year, and how long the second saver waits.
- Starts at 25
- Starts at 35
Show as a table
Savings by age, in future money, for a saver who starts at 25 and one who starts at 35, at 7% a year Age Starts at 25 Starts at 35 25 0 0 30 35,598 0 35 85,526 0 40 155,552 35,598 45 253,768 85,526 50 391,521 155,552 55 584,726 253,768 60 855,707 391,521 65 1,235,771 584,726 - Starts at 25, has at 65
- 1,235,771
- Starts at 35, has at 65
- 584,726
- Cost of waiting 10 years
- 651,045
- Extra paid in by the early saver
- 60,000
NoteNow a third saver puts in the same 500 a month from 25 but stops at 35, just as the second saver starts, and never adds another deposit. They pay in 60,000 against the second saver's 180,000, and at 65 they have 651,045 against 584,726 (in future money).
At 7% a year, 10 early years beat 30 late ones. The early money had longer to earn returns on its returns, and that growth outran every deposit made later.
- 3Charge
A fund charges a yearly fee as a share of everything in it. Leave 10,000 to grow at the return you set in step 2, once with no fee and once with one. The hatched band is the money the fee took. In 2025 the average American index equity fund charged 0.05% a year and the average actively managed one 0.64%, weighted by the money in each.
- No fee
- 1% fee
- Taken by the fee
Show as a table
10,000 over 30 years at 7%, in future money, with no fee and with a 1% fee Years No fee 1% fee 0 10,000 10,000 5 14,026 13,382 10 19,672 17,908 15 27,590 23,966 20 38,697 32,071 25 54,274 42,919 30 76,123 57,435 - No fee
- 76,123
- With the fee
- 57,435
- Taken by the fee
- 18,688
- Share of the final balance
- 24.5%
NoteA 1% fee sounds like it costs 1%. At a 7% return over 30 years it takes 24.5% of what the money would have grown to, about a quarter. The sum is short: the balance grows by 1.06 a year instead of 1.07, and (1.06 ÷ 1.07)30 is 0.75.
The fee is charged on the whole balance every year, including the growth it has already shrunk, so it compounds against you exactly the way the return compounds for you. With your settings it takes 24.5%.
- 4Adjust
Prices rise too, so a sum 40 years away buys less than the same number today. Set a yearly inflation rate and switch the charts above between the money as it will be counted then and what it would buy today.
- Starts at 25, at 65, future money
- 1,235,771
- The same, in today's money
- 460,239
- What 100 costs today, at 65
- 269
- Return after inflation
- 4.4%
- 5Repay
Compounding runs the other way on debt. Take a credit card balance, stop spending on the card, and pay only the minimum each month. In September 2026 the Reserve Bank of Australia's figure for a standard card rate was 21.24% a year. Australia's government money guide says the minimum is typically 2% or 2.5% of the balance, or a set amount (usually around 20), whichever is greater. Rules differ between cards and countries; check your own statement.
- Minimum only
- 200 a month
Show as a table
Card balance owed over time, paying only the minimum and paying 200 a month Years Minimum only 200 a month 0 5,000 5,000 5 3,100 0 10 1,922 0 15 1,191 0 20 734 0 25 0 0 - First minimum payment
- 127
- Minimum only, cleared in
- 25 years
- Minimum only, interest
- 9,847
- 200 a month, cleared in
- 2 years and 10 months
- 200 a month, interest
- 1,633
NoteThe minimum is a share of what you owe, so as the balance falls the payment falls with it, and most of each payment goes on interest. Paying only the minimum, 5,000 at 21% takes 25 years to clear and costs 9,847 in interest: 2.0 times what was borrowed. A fixed 200 a month clears it in 2 years and 10 months for 1,633.
- 6Estimate
A shortcut for all of the above: money growing at a steady rate doubles in about 72 ÷ the rate in percent years. At 8% that is 9 years, so 40 years holds about four and a half doublings. It works for debt and for prices too: at 3% inflation, prices double in about 24 years.
- 72 ÷ rate
- 9.0 years
- Exact
- 9.0 years
- Off by
- 0.1%
- 7Go
The same arithmetic runs through habits, skills and knowledge. Read on.
10.6.1How the model works
Savings grow every month at the rate that compounds to the yearly return you set, and each deposit lands at the end of the month. A fee is taken out of the return, so a 7% return with a 1% fee grows the balance 6% a year. Today's money divides a future sum by (1 + inflation) for every year between now and then, with “now” being age 25.
The card charges its yearly rate divided by 12 on the balance each month. The minimum repayment is the chosen share of the balance after that interest, or 20, whichever is more, and never more than is owed. Nothing new goes on the card, and there are no late fees.
It is a toy in one important way: every rate is constant. Real returns jump around, and when they arrive matters to anyone adding or taking money out. Taxes, which depend on where you live, are left out entirely. Every number in the readouts is computed by the model from your dials; none is typed into the page.
10.6.2Sources
- Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton, UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026, public summary edition. Step 1's long-run returns are from its Figures 12 and 17 and its section on diversification.
- Lei Li, Trends in the Expenses and Fees of Funds, 2025, ICI Research Perspective 32(1), Investment Company Institute, March 2026. The index and actively managed equity fund averages in step 3 are from its Figure 6.
- Reserve Bank of Australia, Statistical Table F5, Indicator Lending Rates: credit cards, standard rate, September 2026.
- Moneysmart (Australian Securities and Investments Commission), Credit card calculator: how minimum repayments are calculated.