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10-1 Explainers

10.6What 1% really costs

Compounding, fees and the cost of waiting. Money that grows earns growth on its growth, so small differences in the rate, or in the year you start, turn into large differences decades later. A fee, inflation and a card balance compound too, against you. Turn the dials and watch a gap of one percent, or ten years, open up.

Runs in your browser · amounts are in no particular currency · settings are saved in the link, so you can share them

Note

This is general education about a mechanism, not financial advice. The numbers are illustrations: real returns are not steady, nobody knows future ones, and the model leaves out taxes, which differ from country to country. Before a real decision, get advice that fits your own situation.

  1. 1Read

    Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton keep return records for 35 markets back to 1900. In their 2026 yearbook, American shares grew 9.8% a year from 1900 to 2025, or 6.6% a year after inflation, which averaged 2.9%. Developed markets as a whole returned 8.5% a year in US dollars. That is a record of one century, not a promise about the next.

    Long-run yearly returns, 1900 to 2025, from the UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026
    1900 to 2025, a yearBefore inflationAfter inflation
    US shares9.8%6.6%
    US long-term bonds4.6%1.6%
    US Treasury bills3.4%0.5%

    Those are averages over 125 years. Along the way, the same yearbook notes, shares and bonds have several times lost more than 70% after inflation. Every dial below holds the rate perfectly steady, which no market does. That is what makes the mechanism visible, and it is the main way this page is simpler than life.

  2. 2Wait

    Two people save the same amount every month until they are 65. One starts at 25. The other waits. Set the yearly return, which this model holds constant every year, and how long the second saver waits.

    • Starts at 25
    • Starts at 35
    0500k1M1.5M2535455565Age
    0500k1M1.5M253035404550556065Age
    Show as a table
    Savings by age, in future money, for a saver who starts at 25 and one who starts at 35, at 7% a year
    AgeStarts at 25Starts at 35
    2500
    3035,5980
    3585,5260
    40155,55235,598
    45253,76885,526
    50391,521155,552
    55584,726253,768
    60855,707391,521
    651,235,771584,726
    Starts at 25, has at 65
    1,235,771
    Starts at 35, has at 65
    584,726
    Cost of waiting 10 years
    651,045
    Extra paid in by the early saver
    60,000
    Note

    Now a third saver puts in the same 500 a month from 25 but stops at 35, just as the second saver starts, and never adds another deposit. They pay in 60,000 against the second saver's 180,000, and at 65 they have 651,045 against 584,726 (in future money).

    At 7% a year, 10 early years beat 30 late ones. The early money had longer to earn returns on its returns, and that growth outran every deposit made later.

  3. 3Charge

    A fund charges a yearly fee as a share of everything in it. Leave 10,000 to grow at the return you set in step 2, once with no fee and once with one. The hatched band is the money the fee took. In 2025 the average American index equity fund charged 0.05% a year and the average actively managed one 0.64%, weighted by the money in each.

    Set the fee to
    • No fee
    • 1% fee
    • Taken by the fee
    020k40k60k80k0102030Years
    020k40k60k80k051015202530Years
    Show as a table
    10,000 over 30 years at 7%, in future money, with no fee and with a 1% fee
    YearsNo fee1% fee
    010,00010,000
    514,02613,382
    1019,67217,908
    1527,59023,966
    2038,69732,071
    2554,27442,919
    3076,12357,435
    No fee
    76,123
    With the fee
    57,435
    Taken by the fee
    18,688
    Share of the final balance
    24.5%

    On step 2's saver, who pays in monthly from 25 to 65, the same fee takes 22.8%: later deposits pay it for fewer years.

    Note

    A 1% fee sounds like it costs 1%. At a 7% return over 30 years it takes 24.5% of what the money would have grown to, about a quarter. The sum is short: the balance grows by 1.06 a year instead of 1.07, and (1.06 ÷ 1.07)30 is 0.75.

    The fee is charged on the whole balance every year, including the growth it has already shrunk, so it compounds against you exactly the way the return compounds for you. With your settings it takes 24.5%.

  4. 4Adjust

    Prices rise too, so a sum 40 years away buys less than the same number today. Set a yearly inflation rate and switch the charts above between the money as it will be counted then and what it would buy today.

    Show amounts
    Starts at 25, at 65, future money
    1,235,771
    The same, in today's money
    460,239
    What 100 costs today, at 65
    269
    Return after inflation
    4.4%

    The return after inflation is (1 + return) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1, a little under the plain difference.

  5. 5Repay

    Compounding runs the other way on debt. Take a credit card balance, stop spending on the card, and pay only the minimum each month. In September 2026 the Reserve Bank of Australia's figure for a standard card rate was 21.24% a year. Australia's government money guide says the minimum is typically 2% or 2.5% of the balance, or a set amount (usually around 20), whichever is greater. Rules differ between cards and countries; check your own statement.

    Minimum repayment
    • Minimum only
    • 200 a month
    02k4k6k01020Years
    02k4k6k0510152025Years
    Show as a table
    Card balance owed over time, paying only the minimum and paying 200 a month
    YearsMinimum only200 a month
    05,0005,000
    53,1000
    101,9220
    151,1910
    207340
    2500
    First minimum payment
    127
    Minimum only, cleared in
    25 years
    Minimum only, interest
    9,847
    200 a month, cleared in
    2 years and 10 months
    200 a month, interest
    1,633
    Note

    The minimum is a share of what you owe, so as the balance falls the payment falls with it, and most of each payment goes on interest. Paying only the minimum, 5,000 at 21% takes 25 years to clear and costs 9,847 in interest: 2.0 times what was borrowed. A fixed 200 a month clears it in 2 years and 10 months for 1,633.

  6. 6Estimate

    A shortcut for all of the above: money growing at a steady rate doubles in about 72 ÷ the rate in percent years. At 8% that is 9 years, so 40 years holds about four and a half doublings. It works for debt and for prices too: at 3% inflation, prices double in about 24 years.

    72 ÷ rate
    9.0 years
    Exact
    9.0 years
    Off by
    0.1%

    Exact: log 2 ÷ log (1 + rate). The rule stays within 3% of it from 2% to 12%, and drifts above about 20%.

  7. 7Go

10.6.1How the model works

Savings grow every month at the rate that compounds to the yearly return you set, and each deposit lands at the end of the month. A fee is taken out of the return, so a 7% return with a 1% fee grows the balance 6% a year. Today's money divides a future sum by (1 + inflation) for every year between now and then, with “now” being age 25.

The card charges its yearly rate divided by 12 on the balance each month. The minimum repayment is the chosen share of the balance after that interest, or 20, whichever is more, and never more than is owed. Nothing new goes on the card, and there are no late fees.

It is a toy in one important way: every rate is constant. Real returns jump around, and when they arrive matters to anyone adding or taking money out. Taxes, which depend on where you live, are left out entirely. Every number in the readouts is computed by the model from your dials; none is typed into the page.

10.6.2Sources

  1. Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh and Mike Staunton, UBS Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2026, public summary edition. Step 1's long-run returns are from its Figures 12 and 17 and its section on diversification.
  2. Lei Li, Trends in the Expenses and Fees of Funds, 2025, ICI Research Perspective 32(1), Investment Company Institute, March 2026. The index and actively managed equity fund averages in step 3 are from its Figure 6.
  3. Reserve Bank of Australia, Statistical Table F5, Indicator Lending Rates: credit cards, standard rate, September 2026.
  4. Moneysmart (Australian Securities and Investments Commission), Credit card calculator: how minimum repayments are calculated.